We are back now to look at the full forecast and, you know,
we got to keep an eye on what's happening,
weather wise as we head through this evening because we have chances
of storms and then we're certainly not done with it after today.
No, absolutely not.
Multiple days here in a row of storm chances and a severe weather threat as well.
Tomorrow, storms look much more likely tomorrow.
I don't think the cap will be an issue and because storms are
likely tomorrow that will increase the severe
weather threat just because the fact that
there's a better chance of storms being out there,
then we'll do it all over again on Thursday and even could have a
couple of storms around on Saturday that would carry a severe weather threat.
But before all that happens, we got storms out there this evening to talk about.
But there you go. It's a three on a scale of five for tomorrow.
A two on a scale of five for a severe weather threat on
Thursday and already a two on a scale of five for Saturday.
Let's just take it one day at a time and maybe just one hour
at a time and what's going on at this hour is DFW is dry,
but we've seen a
handful of thunderstorms kind of moving across here.
None of this activity is severe and not expecting
really any of this activity to become severe either.
This is not the stuff that has broken the cap and that is, you know,
robust thunderstorm development.
This is stuff that's actually kind of formed around
or on top of the cap and that's why it's
really
been hard to maintain intensity or really even intensify even more.
But there's also some heavy rain, maybe even a little small hail.
If you find yourself underneath,
one of these thunderstorms definitely wets the roadways
briefly and kind of interrupts your evening commute,
but the dry line still back to the west,
that's what could trigger
the cap to break in some thunderstorms a little
bit later on this afternoon into the evening hours,
basically between now and about seven o'clock,
not impossible for a thunderstorm or two or three to form along the dry.
And of course, if the cap holds,
we'll be storm free this evening and into tonight,
the only thing that'll be out there is just
those showers and storms I showed you earlier,
which I'm not overly concerned with those.
But if the cap breaks,
any of these thunderstorms that form between now and about seven
could easily become severe with a threat for some large
hail and some of those damaging winds as well.
But as the activity moves east and the sun sets, it kind of starts to fizzle out.
We get some sinking air this evening later this evening and into tonight and your
storms basically just go away overnight tonight and
we're dry to start the day tomorrow,
but we won't stay dry tomorrow all day long.
So, in the meantime, tonight,
basically through about 11 o'clock,
that's your storm window. But if nothing is really formed by about seven,
I think chances for thunderstorms pretty low.
The remainder of the evening, basically between about now and seven o'clock,
kind of the window for that cap to break
two on a scale of five there for severe weather.
Uh The remainder of the evening, here's what happens tomorrow though.
The morning starts off with some thunderstorms closer to the Red River
and then we get development during the day across the rest of North Texas,
there's noon,
there's three o'clock and basically any of these storms that
are out there tomorrow have the potential of being severe.
My main concern is tomorrow, hail and wind, but the tornado threat tomorrow,
not completely zero. It's on the lower side than the hail and wind threat,
but it's not zero tomorrow. It's made in North Texas.
It's just something we gotta monitor this time of the year.
There's seven o'clock tomorrow evening and it has, we head into tomorrow night,
things quiet down.
But basically we're gonna do it all over again as we head through the day on Thursday.
So it's a three on a scale of five for severe
weather threat for all of almost all of North Texas tomorrow.
Golf ball sized hail,
or maybe even some isolated instances of hail larger than that damaging
winds up to 60 miles an hour in isolated tornado threat.
So I'm not guaranteeing severe weather for everybody.
I think storm chances are higher tomorrow,
but that doesn't necessarily mean you're guaranteed to see golf
ball size hill or tornado or anything like that.
It's just remember the potential is there with
any severe storms during the day tomorrow.
And then as I said, we'll do it all over again on Thursday right now.
It's a two on a scale of five.
We kind of need to get through tomorrow and figure
out what the atmosphere looks like heading into Thursday.
We'll fine tune the severe weather threat, the timing and the coverage as we head,
uh, closer to Thursday.
Then the heat cranks up. Look at this for your upcoming Memorial Day weekend.
93 Friday,
94 Saturday, 96 on Sunday
and 94 for your actual Memorial Day,
every single one of those days will feature a
heat index at or above 100 degrees tonight.
Though isolated thunderstorms,
if they're out there and they will come to a close as we head through.
The late night hours were dry to start tomorrow with a
low of 75 and the thunderstorms likely during the day tomorrow,
70% coverage and some of them could be severe.
It's 60% coverage Thursday.
10% coverage Friday.
20% coverage Saturday.
We'd also watch Saturday if we can get some storms to pop up,
some of those could be severe as well.
10% coverage Sunday and Monday. So most of your Memorial Day weekend will be dry,
but we'll have to watch out for a few thunderstorms here or there.
Then we do cool off a little bit.
It looks like after Memorial Day with, uh,
temperatures back in the eighties for highs.
But storm chances, I just can't get rid of them
between now and basically the end of the month or even to start June.