Good evening, Devin Truby here For ABC10
to talk to you about Hurricane Hillary,
which is now a category one storm.
Let's go ahead and take a look.
So this evening Hillary has
downgraded and is losing momentum.
If we take a look even
comparison to yesterday,
there's no longer a clear dead center
eye that stands out and the clouds are
really starting to mix over the top.
It's not really as tight as a spiral.
Now part of the reason that's happened is
because as Hillary has moved her stay N,
you're mixing with colder water
and drier air that downs grade
Hillary losing momentum as well.
So let's take a closer look
now at the watches,
warnings and advisories that are still
being issued around combo San Lucas.
We are seeing the tropical storm warning
in blue and then a little higher up in red.
We're seeing the hurricane
warning for Hillary.
She is hugging the peninsula very tightly
and we're expecting landfall in Baja.
But the landfall location exactly is not
super important for this storm because
the impacts are going to be so widespread.
Now.
A category one storm downgraded winds,
now 90 mph.
So in 12 hours Hillary has gone from a
category 3:00 to 2:00 to category one.
The wind speed also from 120 mph
all the way down to 90.
By the time it reaches San
Diego and Southern California,
it is expected to be downgraded
even more as a tropical storm.
So headed towards the Baja Peninsula,
hugging the coastline very
tightly and Hillary,
now taking a slightly
northern shift and approach,
winds down to 75 mph.
That's why it's not that by time
Hillary reaches Southern California,
it'll be more of a tropical storm
impact and then reaching all the way
up to Southern California by Sunday,
overnight, early morning hours,
You'll really feel the brunt of the
wind and the rain all day in Southern
California on Sunday and the impact
stretching all the way upwards.
Monday is when we will feel
Hillary in Northern California.
Hillary will speed up in the next 12
to 24 hours from Baja into Southern
California is what is expected.
Here's a look at where she's
headed right now.
Still only one outlier path.
We're getting much more confident
in these tracks that Hillary will
follow all the way up the peninsula,
hugging very closely.
And then here again,
here's that Northern push the projection off.
We're getting a few outliers,
pushing her closer towards the Reno
area and a few offshoots as well.
But those are our outliers,
mainly focusing on feeling this strong
North and West rise for Hillary.
Why?
Because there's not a lot of
other places that she can go.
She's trapped by this high
pressure system in the plains,
and we also have this low pressure
system creating this perfect area
for her to just fall directly into.
So she's stuck between two other
systems that we're looking
at right now. Let's take a closer look.
There's our watches, warnings and
advisory and how things will play out.
This yellow area that's also the
cone where the wind speed and this
is where the watch takes into effect.
This whole yellow area,
that's where you're still feel a
lot of rain and wind just so you can
see the extensiveness of Hurricane
Hillary as we take a look up.
So I was covering the whole peninsula,
San Diego look,
even some stretching in towards Arizona,
also some impacts touching into
Colorado possibly as well.
Reno and Las Vegas slightly in the
crosshairs just a little bit as well
as you make your way into Monday.
Those winds downgraded to about 30,
5 mph by the time they reach
Northern California.
Again,
those outliers pointing The more she heads N,
the less impact you see
on Northern California.
That wind and rain in the Sacramento
Valley and in the high country.
So she has a little more north.
We get a little more of a bit of a break
but Southern California definitely
dealing with the brunt of this storm system.
Still let's go ahead and talk a
little bit about of some brief
history of hurricanes in Southern California.
Hillary of course making history for
the first ever tropical storm warning issued.
If she were to touch down in California,
that means she'd be the first hurricane in
84 years to make landfall in that area,
as we had Hurricane Nora that came in
as a tropical storm in California in 1997.
But here's the big 1 El Cordonzo,
which actually made landfall
in Long Beach in 1939.
So again,
Hillary expected to be a tropical storm
by the time she reaches California.
But here is where she would
stack up in the history books,
whether she was a hurricane or a
tropical storm and whether or not she
makes landfall where Hillary right now,
again a category one and we're expecting
her to weaken further as she makes her way.
N Southern California dealing with the
brunt of this storm Sunday evening,
Sunday early morning hours,
Hillary should make her away there and
then dealing with the impacts the entire day.
Northern California looking at Monday,
we will feel those humid more
tropical conditions Monday as well.
Besides the rain and the wind
that comes with a hurricane,
let's look at the timeline of the story.
So today we are already seeing
that Southern California has
been dealing with rain and wind.
We've also seen some evacuations,
voluntary evacuations in the
area of the Bon Fire in Southern
California because there's concern
about the debris flow from the most
recent burn scars in that area.
And then also San Bernardino,
CA issuing some evacuation warnings
for a few communities as well also
dealing with that Sunday morning.
This is when the tropical storm will arrive.
Make sure all those preps
are done before then.
So if you have friends,
family in Southern California,
be sure to send them a text this evening.
Make sure they're all set with
their supplies anywhere from
three to two weeks worth of food.
Are their phones charged?
Do they have battery chargers?
Then the main event will be
there by Sunday evening.
Rain and wind that's also in
the flood potential will be the
greatest because rain is going to
fall throughout the entire day.
National Weather Service even printing
at the brunt part of the storms,
the rain rate as much as two
inches could fall an hour.
And our concern in Southern California
is that because it's been so dry,
those triple digit temperatures,
the ground is very hard.
There's nowhere for that rain
to go and be absorbed.
Also again we have our wildfires,
we have debris left over,
we have burn scars for that debris
flow can be and then Monday for
Southern California those remnants
should move out just rain and wind
remaining and that is when Northern
California will take over the storm.
So rain and flood really
the biggest impacts here.
Here's our excessive rain outlook.
This system is on a scale of four,
it is a four in San Diego and Southern
California even making it all the
way up and if we look to Sacramento
we're even in the 1A slight marginal
then in our Sierra we have a two as
well for a slight excessive rainfall outlook.
Rain is really going to be the
factor that comes into play here,
watches,
warnings and advisories.
Let's go ahead and take
a closer look at this.
Our tropical storm warning that's
impacting Southern California.
This has put 42 million people in Southern
California under some type of watch,
warning or advisory and then the
flood watch is the main one here.
It is possible that if the storm
continues to head north within this band,
7 to 10 inches of rainfall possible
in that area and Death Valley.
They could be seen enough rain that
they see in the whole year in just the
next two days in those desert regions,
which is really going to be again concerning.
And that's why they have
the flood watch in effect,
Hillary bringing with it so much
moisture that's going to go all the
way up to Northern California again.
The spread of the storm reaching
into parts of Arizona,
Colorado and then the moisture going
all the way up stretching even towards
the Pacific Northwest at this point.
Now again things can change based on
Hillary's projected path because the
moisture here towards Northern California,
Pacific Northwest still about
40-8 hours away.
So things a little a time
to change before then,
but feeling very confident about the
flood watch and what's going to be
happening in Southern California.
So let's take a look at how
much rain is expected.
Again, like I said,
two inches definitely going to fall.
And then as the storm moves
on throughout the entire
day into Tuesday with all the remnants again
as much as seven to 10 inches possible.
But we're also looking at 2:00 to 4:00,
the storm spreading out,
Anaheim even expecting 2 inches
of rainfall at this point in time.
And this is for the totals
again all the way into Tuesday.
Let's just look at how widespread that storm
system is touching down even into Phoenix,
Las Vegas, also all in the path
for some significant rainfall.
We have a lot of rainfall headed our way as
well in Northern California again Tuesday.
Hopefully the entire system is blown out
of our region and we all should be done
with the rain by that point in time.
Let's go ahead and take a closer
look and track it out.
We are expecting just some rainfall
this evening in Northern for ourselves,
20% chance of a shower in Sacramento.
We've already seen some thunderstorm activity
along the I-80 corridor in the Tahoe,
Reno, Truckee area.
Some sprinkles.
They're very light, but we will
continue to see some activity pick up.
Here it comes, Hillary from the bottom,
the yellow giving her away,
stretching up Yosemite Going to
be seeing a lot of rainfall.
We've seen warnings issued for
our national parks as well.
And then Hillary will bring her
way in Monday.
Sacramento Valley region,
Reno.
So all of our areas will be seen
a significant amount of rainfall
and then the storm system still
lingering potentially a little bit
into the overnight hours of Monday,
early Tuesday morning.
And then should pretty much be gone
and very clear for the rest of the
work week and for next weekend.
Here's what we're expecting in
terms of rainfall,
even just about like 1/10 of an inch forest.
It is possible that you were in
the San Francisco Bay area and
the closer you are to the coast,
you might not see any rain at all and
make our way into Sacramento Valley.
San Joaquin,
we're potentially seeing you
anywhere from 1/10 of an inch,
maybe a little bit more.
This is enough rain that it actually
is about the total that we normally
see for the entire month of August that
we could see in a 2 day span as well.
So not only Southern California
seen a lot of rain,
but Northern California seen
a lot of rain as well.
And in this Sierra,
the Foothills region, 2 inches possible.
Again,
based on where the storm system tracks
and where the pathway of Hillary goes,
things can change a little bit because
we are still predicting 48 hours out,
but feeling very confident that we will
see some rainfall and definitely some
wind breezy conditions of about 10
to 15 mph and then gusts of 30 to 40 mph.
Those gusts can even be felt Sunday evening,
that little bit of thunderstorm
activity that we have right now.
So this is the time.
If you have patio furniture,
go ahead and bring it inside
or any decorations as
well. Maybe like a wind chime,
it might look great outside,
but with those wind gusts starting at 40 mph,
you would hate for it to get loose,
blow into window, cause any damage or crack.
So go ahead and just get on
top of all of that right now.
Same with our preparedness plan.
So according to the CDC,
less than 50% of Americans actually have
the right amount of supplies they need in
an emergency or in one of these disasters.
So that's two weeks of food and water,
Having a flashlight,
potentially a generator? Do you?
If you have a cell phone,
do you have a backup battery?
A way to charge it?
This is also a great time to
sign up for alerts.
So that's calalerts.org.
I know that it might be a little
bit weaker in Northern California,
but we want you to be weather
aware and weather wise,
If you think about it,
we've been seeing so much weather
recently happening around our
region from the wildfires in Maui
to the winters that we saw earlier.
Now we have Hurricane Hillary.
There's so much weather that's
been happening just in our region
and on our coast.
This is a great time to think about yourself.
Where would I evacuate?
Do I have the right supplies?
And and I signed up for alerts.
You're also going to want to go into
your smartphone device and make sure
that you have those alerts enabled so
they can automatically be pushed to
your phone in an emergency situation.
We will have our meteorologist,
Brendan Mensha providing you
one of these online reports,
but also the weather for you
tomorrow morning on ABC10.
And then our Chief Meteorologist,
Monica Woods will be with you
on Sunday for 5-6 and 6:30 and
late news tonight at 11 tracking
Hurricane Hillary and everything
that is to come from this storm
system to Northern California.