Good Monday morning we're tracking
the tropics here at 13 news. Now.
I'm meteorologist Melissa Terrazas.
Now let's take a look at this
year's Atlantic hurricane names.
Now, we had Alex earlier this year,
Bonnie Colin.
It was definitely off to a slow start.
Then we began to kick things up a bit.
We had Danielle, Earl,
Fiona not too long ago gassed on
Tropical Storm Hermine and now we
are tracking what is Hurricane
Ian along parts of the Caribbean.
It is currently a category one hurricane,
which means that.
It has sustained winds that
are greater than 74 mph.
They're currently right at 75 mph.
As of the latest advisory,
it is moving northwest at about 14 mph.
It's projected to gain some
strength as it continues to move
N brings impacts to parts of the
Cayman Islands and parts of Cuba.
We're talking about high winds,
the possibility of storm surge
and also heavy amounts of rain.
As it continues to move N it'll
impact parts of the Gulf of Mexico.
Gaining its strength and possibly
reaching a category four hurricane
before weakening into a category
three hurricane just before
impact to the state of Florida.
Now whether or not it's going to be
a category one or three is still
uncertain and the direct area
of landfall is still uncertain,
but we do know that it is heading north
up towards the United States coastline,
towards the state of Florida.
We have watches and warnings and plays
for the Cayman Islands later today,
parts of Cuba, western Cuba,
we also have hurricane warnings.
For areas along parts of coastal
Florida South of Tampa and
also along areas for the keys.
Now let's take a look at the three
major models, which is the Canadian,
European and the American.
Right now as a category one hurricane,
the models do agree that it's
going to continue to move N impact
parts of western Cuba from there
into the Gulf of Mexico.
Beyond that, one of the models,
which is the Canadian,
brings it out a little further.
W keeps it in the Gulf of Mexico.
So does the.
American model,
the European model takes it a little
further east and impacts parts of the
Florida coastline near the Tampa area,
Clearwater as well,
and then all the models bring it
up towards the northern or the
Florida Panhandle from there.
Where the moisture is going to
go from there is so uncertain,
but two of the major models are
now saying it's going to push E
it's going to bring heavy amounts
of rainfall for parts of Georgia,
the Carolinas and even for us
here across Hampton Roads,
while one of the other models
takes it up generally north.
Here's a look at all the models again.
They're beginning to become
more tightly packed again,
bringing in the the hurricane.
Now, what is Hurricane Ian further up north,
impacting parts of Cuba,
entering the Gulf of Mexico?
Where it'll exactly make landfall
along parts of Florida is
still uncertain, but we know we are
forecasting some heavy amounts of
rain here across Hampton Roads, out.
Here's a look at what one of the models is
saying, because we do want to take a look
at two of the major models, a closer look,
the American model and then the European.
Model in just a second.
The American model has it impacting
parts of Cuba, brings it up north,
and then it brings impact to areas near
coastal Florida just before your Friday,
Friday afternoon.
So this event can really take
place late Thursday into Friday.
It brings in that moisture as early as Friday
and then keeps it here during the weekend.
Your European model does very similar things.
Again, it brings in the storm
affecting parts of western Cuba.
Continues to move at north,
gaining strength.
We have those warmer waters from the Gulf
of Mexico as the hurricane continues to move
N dumping moisture over parts of Georgia,
North Carolina,
South Carolina and for us
here across Hampton Rd.
So definitely something that we're watching
for us here across coastal Virginia,
NE North Carolina.
It does look to be a heavy rainmaker.
We could see some hazardous
weather conditions.
Heavy downpours will be possible
at times and high winds.