COUPLE MONTHS AGO. THE ONLY WAY SHE WILL STAY IN
THE RACE CHIP AWAY AT SOME OFWRN
BRNS
BRNS BERNIE SANDERS’ SUPPORTERS.
>> AND JOE BIDEN IS IN FIRST
PLACE IN THIS POLL.
BIDEN 26% SUPPORT.
SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS NEXT WITH
22% FOLLOWED BY WARREN WITH 18%.
DROPPING SEVEN POINTS SINCE
OCTOBER, BOTH STATISTICALLY TIED
FOR SECOND.
FOR SECOND. PETE BUTTIGIEG AND MICHAEL
BLOOMBERG AND TULSI GABBARD
STATISTICALLY TIED FOR FOURTH,
THOUGH BLOOMBERG WON’T BE ON THE
BALLOT IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
>> AND STEVE, LOOK AT THE TREND
LINE.
LINE. ELIZABETH WARREN DOWN IN THIS
POLL AS WELL, BUT BIDEN IN FIRST
PLACE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
THIS HAS COME AS A SURPRISE THAT
A FEW POLLS OVERISH THE PAST
WEEK HAVE SHOWN BIDEN JUMPING
INTO FIRST PLACE IN BOTH IOWA
AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, WHICH, OF
COURSE, IF HE WERE TO WIN IOWA
AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, THEN, YOU
KNOW, LET’S JUST -- LET’S JUST
TURN OFF THE LIGHTS IN THE
STADIUM.
STADIUM. THE GAME’S OVER.
HE’S GOING TO SWEEP IT ALL.
>> WELL, LET ME SAY A COUPLE OF
THING.
THING. >> THAT’S A BIG "IF."
>> AND THE REGISTER POLL SHOWED
IT NECK AND NECK A COUPLE DAYS
AGO.
AGO. >> IN FOURTH PLACE SORT OF
WITHIN THE MARGIN.
>> WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR.
I WOULD SAY WITHIN THIS SORT OF
POLITICAL WORLD I DON’T KNOW
ANYONE WHO’S OVERLY CONFIDENT,
PUT IT THAT WAY, ABOUT BIDEN’S
CHANCES PARTICULARLY IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE.
HAMPSHIRE. THEY THINK NEW HAMPSHIRE WILL BE
A STRUGGLE FOR HIM.
IF HE CAN GET OUT OF THERE IN A
DECENT SECOND THEY WOULD
CONSIDER THAT ALMOST A VICTORY.
THIRD AND FOURTH, POLLED IN
OTHER POLLS A FEW WEEKS EARLIER
WOULD BE A DISASTER, AND I THINK
IOWA IS A REALLY, REALLY
IMPORTANT STATE FOR BIDEN.
LET ME JUST SAY ONE THING ABOUT
WARREN AND SANDERS.
FOR WHATEVER SET OF REASONS AND
SOME PEOPLE ARE BAFFLED BY THIS,
WARREN CLUNG TO SANDERS LIKE A
LIFE PRESERVER THE WHOLE FIRST
PART OF THIS CAMPAIGN.
WOULD ALLOW NO DAYLIGHT BETWEEN
THE TWO OF THEM ON ANY POSITION.
AS YOU REMEMBER, WHENEVER SHE
WAS ASKED ABOUT MEDICARE FOR ALL
SHE SAID I’M WITH BERNIE, I’M
WITH BERNIE BUT DIDN’T HAVE A
PLAN.
PLAN. SUDDENLY BECAME THE FRONT-RUNNER
AND DECIDED THE PLAN WAS
RIDICULOUS.
RIDICULOUS. S $20 MILLION IN TAXES AND SO
ON, AND THAT BEGAN HER FALL.
SEEMS TO ME IN RETROSPECT THESE
TWO HAD TO SEPARATE.
FIGHTING OVER THE SAME VOTERS.
>> SEPARATE ON ISSUES.
>> THE LAST POINT I MAKE IS THAT
IF SANDERS BECOMES KIND OF THE
"FRONS"
"FRONS" "FRONT-RUNNER" AGAIN, AND BERNIE
HAS 20%, NEVER GET THE
NOMINATION BUT OUT THERE.
IF HE’S PERCEIVED TO BE A REAL
POTENTIAL NOMINEE, PEOPLE WILL
PICK ON HIS RECORD AND HIS
RECORD IS WAY TO THE LEFT OF
ELIZABETH WARREN’S RECORD.
IF EXPOSING HER RECORD DID HER
IN, SEE WHAT IT DOES TO HIM.
>> BERNIE WILL MAKE NO APOLOGIES
FOR THAT.
FOR THAT. >> HE’LL MAKE NO APOLOGIES.
IN FACT, WHEN SHE BACKED OFF ON
MEDICARE FOR ALL, SHE WENT BACK
ALL-IN.
ALL-IN. >> YEAH.
>> YEAH. BRING IN CHAIRMAN -- CECIL GUY.
SHOWING TEFLON JOE CONTINUES TO
JUST KEEP ROLLING.
WE WERE ON "COLBERT" LAST NIGHT.
WHAT ABOUT THAT TAPE THAT
SURFACED OF JOE BIDEN IN 2003
THAT SAID HE SUPPORTED BUSH AND
THE WAR?
THE WAR? WHAT IMPACT IS THAT GOING TO
HAVE?
HAVE? I SAID, NONE.
I MEAN, HE’S TEFLON JOE.
HE CALLED SOMEBODY FAT IN IOWA!
CHALLENGE HIM TO PUSH-UPS.
HE CALLS HIM JACK!
AND NOTHING HAPPENS TO THIS GUY.
>> BECAUSE THEY KNOW HIM.
>> HE IS LIKE THE DEMOCRATIC
ANECDOTE TO TRUMP.
NOTHING MATTERS!
NOTHING MATTERS! HE’S TEFLON JOE!
I HAVE KNOW IDEA WHERE YOU’RE
GOING WITH THAT, GUYS.
TALK GENERALLY HOW FLUID THE
FIELD IS AND HOW ANYBODY COULD
WIN.
WIN. GO.
GO. >> WELL, JOE, THE FIELD IS
FLUID, AND ANYBODY CAN WIN.
>> GUY CECIL, PRIORITIES USA.
THANK YOU VERY MUCH ON THE WAY
OUT.
OUT. YOUR PARTING GIFT, RICE RONEY,
THE SAN FRANCISCO TREAT, AND
COMEBACK CAREERS.
COMEBACK CAREERS. MIKA BRZEZINSKI’S NEW BOOK.
TALK ABOUT THE TREND LINES
YOU’VE SEEN OVER THE PAST WEEK.
THAT’S ALL WE CAN REALLY LOOK
AT.
AT. WHAT’S HAPPENED OVER THE PAST
FIVE, SIX, SEVEN DAYS.
>> LOOK AT THE IOWA POLLS CAME
OUT.
OUT. MONMOUTH FOR EXAMPLE.
THE SELF-IDENTIFIED MODERATE
CANDIDATES, BIDEN, BUTTIGIEG,
KLOBUCHAR, ARE AT 49% OF THE
VOTE.
VOTE. AND THAT KLOBUCHAR NUMBER AT 8%
BECOMES REALLY IMPORTANT,
BECAUSE IF YOU DON’T HIT A 15%
THRESHOLD, THEN THE SECOND
CHOICE OF THOSE CAUCUSGOERS
MATTER.
MATTER. IT’S HARD TO IMAGINE A KLOBUCHAR
VOTER GOING TO ANYBODY OTHER
THAN JOE BIDEN AND MAYBE PETE
BUTTIGIEG.
BUTTIGIEG. SO THERE’S NO QUESTION THAT JOE
BIDEN HAS HAD AN INCREDIBLY GOOD
FEW WEEKS.
FEW WEEKS. THERE’S NO QUESTION THAT THE
SPAT BETWEEN ELIZABETH WARREN
AND BERNIE SANDERS IS GOOD FOR
TWO PEOPLE.
TWO PEOPLE. JOE BIDEN AND DONALD TRUMP.
AND SO IF HE CAN SOMEHOW MANAGE
TO WIN EVEN ONE OF THE FIRST TWO
STATES, IT PUTS HIM IN AN
INCREDIBLY STRONG POSITION GOING
BIDEN WINNING IN THE FIRST OF