Hello, I'm meteorologist Rob
Karmark and I work here at ABC 10.
If you're watching this on YouTube,
we are a TV station here in Northern
California, but we cover news and
weather up and down the state,
especially for these specific
forecasts that are made for YouTube.
So let's go ahead and talk about what's been
going on locally in Sacramento on Sunday.
It was the opening sort of open house for
the local AAA team called the Rivercats.
And this was the view you've got
your Tower Bridge, blue skies,
some thickening clouds,
and we did see some spotty showers.
On both Saturday and Sunday,
but in the mountains,
it was a completely different story.
Just a few moments of sunshine in
between raging snow storms on Friday,
Saturday and part of Sunday as well.
And you could see how high
up these snow banks are.
People's personal snow blowers that they'll
get out of the garage and just kind of
plow their driveway and then put it away.
They're having a very difficult,
if not impossible time throwing the
snow up on top of these snow banks.
This is at least 10 feet,
more like 12 feet.
Some of these spots here you could
see the vehicles and then you see
all the snow on the roof now.
Every subdivision and every region
around Tahoe has code for building,
and it it's rated on how much
snow they typically get that your
roof needs to be able to hold
because all of this is very heavy.
It's made out of water.
And then underneath what we've
got is as you warm your house,
your attic gets warm, warm enough
to melt that bottom layer of snow.
So you start to get water.
Well, then the water can flow off
the side and that's a normal thing.
But when it's really cold and
there's this much snow,
you get ice damming.
So in other words,
the water flows and then it gets stuck.
Tonight you've got liquid water under
all this snow and it starts to seep.
It starts to go underneath the
shingles into the house and
then you start to get seepage.
So everyone's dealing with trying to clear
off their their the roofs of their home,
trying to make sure they can vent so
they don't have carbon monoxide issues,
and just the sheer weight of it
so they don't have collapse.
That is a legitimate situation
that's ongoing.
When we get rain on snow by the end
of this week you're going to get some
rain that will percolate off this.
But what I'm worried about if
it sustains itself for a while.
All of these channels for roads
and driveways could channel the
water right into your home.
So it's something that everybody's paying
attention to and the days and weeks ahead.
Now,
broadly speaking,
the climate Prediction Prediction
Center likes a cooler than normal
forecast and a wetter than normal
forecast going all the way into
the middle of March.
But we got to get through this warm
period and it really is significant as
it hits us on a weekend and there could
be 2 rounds of warm high level snow.
Take a look at this folks.
The bottom line is this
for Southern California.
If you've been waiting for a break
and you're looking at what's going
on in Big Bear and Crestline,
they're going to get a better
weather window to get in,
to get things cleared and get people
rescued or at least resupplied.
But for central Northern California,
we are in it folks.
This is gonna be something that you
mentally need to prepare yourself for
a lot going on this week and next.
Now, early this week,
it's all about light on and off rain showers,
more moderate,
continued snow in the mountains.
Then we're going to get a couple
of days of drier weather,
mostly Thursday it looks like,
and maybe Friday as well.
And then by the end of this week.
Folks, by Friday,
by Thursday night and Friday
in the mountains at least,
a warm storm with a lot of flooding
issues that we are worried about.
Now remember,
there's been a benefit to this insane winter,
which is our drought conditions are
essentially gone for half the state.
Only far.
Northern California has
some lingering issues,
but with that pattern that we've got coming
up and the rain and snow that we see today,
it's all chipping away at
those drought conditions.
We get a new update early
on Thursday morning.
Locally, we have a winter
storm warning for a heavy snow,
a lower visibility.
Stronger winds down to about
3000 feet or so with some snow
dipping down below 2000 feet.
That goes all the way
until tomorrow afternoon.
So this still is an ongoing issue
that we got to deal with today as
well as on Tuesday going forward.
Once this finally starts to move out,
then we're going to start
to see a Ridge move in.
Then the warmer storm comes in.
This is our local forecast for the big
mountain backyard on and off showers today.
We're going to see highs in the 50s,
but I really want to time out
the next couple systems here.
This is what we got to get
through the first couple of days.
Rain moving in through the
area in the middle of the day.
Then as it starts to break up a little bit,
some peeks of sunshine,
but then that actually fires
up convective showers,
which is big white puffy clouds.
We could see some rain,
could see some hail,
could see some lightning as well,
and brief heavy rain,
but it doesn't usually last very long.
And continued snow in the mountains.
We're going to have the same deal on Tuesday.
Remember how I showed you that?
Basically plume of moisture coming in,
but it's very spotty?
That's what that looks like.
It's very scattered.
It's on,
it's off. Makes it difficult to nail down,
but in general we know
what's gonna be happening.
Until we get to Wednesday when things
start to clear up a little bit again.
Rain and snow on Monday,
rain and snow on Tuesday.
Then we get into Wednesday.
The last bit moves through.
We have a dry day on Thursday and notice
how everything just looks different.
It's lots of green.
We've got this Ridge building in,
so it's pulling in a lot of warmer,
wetter air.
And this is our moment in time, folks.
Friday during the day,
Snow level 7000 feet,
if not a little bit above that means
basically snow for almost all of
this here except for the central.
There's really high mountains there, so.
It is going to be a lower Foothill
flooding issue and then perhaps
another one coming in on Tuesday.
The bottom line is this,
over the next 7 to 10 days,
probably more like 14.
We're looking at very active
weather with rain and snow
but cold temps this week.
Then we warm up and lots of flooding
potential by the end of this week,
weekend and beyond.