YOU DON’T MENTION THAT EXCUSE ME, I WON THE SENATE.
>> WELL, THE PRESIDENT WANTS TO
TALK ABOUT THE SENATE.
WE’LL TALK ABOUT THE SENATE.
BUT WE’LL TALK ABOUT THE WHOLE
PICTURE HERE BECAUSE ELECTION
DAY, A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN A
WEEK IN THE PAST, FEELS A LOT
LONGER THAN THAT.
BUT THE COUNTING, THE LATE VOTE
BEING COUNTED, BEING TALLIED,
ALL SORTS OF RACES THAT WEREN’T
CAULEY ALEXIS NIGHT
CALLED ELECTION NIGHT.
WE HAVE A MUCH MORE COMPLETE
PICTURE OF WHAT HAPPENED AND
WHAT DIDN’T HAPPEN IN THE 2018
MIDTERM ELECTION.
MIDTERM ELECTION. SO LET’S TAKE YOU THROUGH ALL OF
IT.
IT. LET’S START ON THE HOUSE SIDE
BECAUSE THIS IS WHERE SO MUCH OF
THE DRAMA WAS THROUGHOUT THE
YEAR.
YEAR. COMING INTO THIS ELECTION ALL
YEAR, WE TALKED ABOUT THE
DEMOCRATS BEING AT 193, THE
REPUBLICANS 235.
REPUBLICANS 235. THERE WERE THE VACANCIES.
BASICALLY WHEN YOU PUT
EVERYTHING INTO ACCOUNT, THE
DEMOCRATS NEEDED A NET GAIN OF
23.
23. SOME OF THESE VACANCIES IT WAS
CLEAR WHO WAS GOING TO WIN THEM.
THE DEMOCRATS NEEDED A NET GAIN
OF 23 SEATS.
THIS IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE.
THIS IS WHAT OUR FLIPPED CHART
LOOKS LIKE HERE.
THERE WERE THREE DEMOCRATIC
SEATS THAT REPUBLICANS ACTUALLY
PICKED UP, BUT AT THIS POINT
HERE, YOU SEE THERE ARE 40
REPUBLICAN SEATS THAT DEMOCRATS
HAVE PICKED UP.
WHAT THAT IS AT THIS MOMENT,
ACCORDING TO OUR CHART, IS A
37-SEAT NET GAIN FOR DEMOCRATS.
THAT’S WHERE THINGS STAND RIGHT
NOW.
NOW. THEY NEEDED 23 TO GET BACK THE
HOUSE.
HOUSE. THEY HAVE EASILY SURPASSED THAT.
IT SITS AT 37.
AND THEY ARERE ACTUALLY STILL AR
COUPLE UNCALLED RACES.
THIS ONE IS THEIR BEST BET RIGHT
NOW.
NOW. THIS IS THE SECOND DISTRICT OF
NEW MEXICO.
NEW MEXICO. WE HAVE NOT ACTUALLY CALLED
THIS, BUT THE DEMOCRATIC
CANDIDATE IS RATHER BE THE
DEMOCRAT THAN THE REPUBLICAN,
PUT IT THAT WAY.
UTAH, A LOT OF SUSPENSE HERE
AROUND MIA LOVE, BEN McADAMS THE
DEMOCRATIC CHALLENGER RUNNING
AGAINST HIM.
AGAINST HIM. TRUMP WROTE OFF MIA LOVE THE DAY
AFTER THE ELECTION PRESS
CONFERENCE.
CONFERENCE. MIA LOVE HAS TAKEN A LEAD IN
LATE TABULATIONS.
LATE TABULATIONS. WE STILL HAVEN’T CALLED THAT
RACE.
RACE. FOR DEMOCRATS THE MARGIN HERE IN
THE HOUSE, THEY COULD END UP
GETTING TO 38, MAYBE EVEN 39
SEATS.
SEATS. THERE IS EVEN A DISTRICT IN
CALIFORNIA THAT’S BEEN CALLED
FOR THE REPUBLICANS, BUT THAT
LATE TABULATED VOTE HAS BROUGHT
THE DEMOCRAT WITHIN 900 VOTES.
THAT’S THE 21st DISTRICT IN
CALIFORNIA.
CALIFORNIA. WE’RE STILL KEEPING AN EYE ON
THAT ONE AS WELL.
BUT AGAIN FOR THE DEMOCRATS, ONE
WAY TO LOOK AT THIS, WE TALKED
SO MUCH ABOUT THESE CLINTON-WON
DISTRICT.
DISTRICT. THESE WERE DISTRICTS IN 2016
THEY DIDN’T LIKE DONALD TRUMP.
THEY VOTED FOR HILLARY CLINTON,
BUT THEY SENT REPUBLICANS BACK
TO CONGRESS.
TO CONGRESS. A LOT OF THESE WERE SUBURBAN
DISTRICTS.
DISTRICTS. THIS WAS SORT OF THE FIRST LINE
OF ATTACK FOR DEMOCRATS IN 2018.
AND LOOK HOW MANY OF THESE THEY
WON.
WON. THERE WERE 25 OF THEM COMING
INTO THE ELECTION, AND 21 OF
THEM WE THINK HAVE FLIPPED.
21 HAVE SAID THEY DIDN’T LIKE
TRUMP IN 2016, AND NOW THEY ARE
TAKING IT OUT ON TRUMP’S PARTY.
EVERYBODY WITH THAT REPUBLICAN
LABEL IN 2018.
SO THAT WAS KIND OF GROUND ZERO
FOR THE DEMOCRATIC CHARGE HERE.
BUT AGAIN, IT EXTENDED.
THEY WON A LOT OF THE DISTRICTS
THAT HAVE GONE OBAMA TO TRUMP.
THEY WON A COUPLE OF DISTRICTS
THAT WERE TRUMP/TRUMP --
ROMNEY/TRUMP, REPUBLICAN IN 2012
AND 2016.
AND 2016. THAT’S THE PICTURE ON THE HOUSE
SIDE THERE.
SIDE THERE. AGAIN, APPROACHING 40 SEATS FOR
DEMOCRATS.
DEMOCRATS. IN TERMS OF THE U.S. SENATE,
WHAT DONALD TRUMP DID WANT TO
TALK ABOUT, AGAIN, GOING INTO
THIS ELECTION, IT WAS 51/49.
REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE THERE.
SO ON PAPER THE DEMOCRATS WERE
WITHIN TWO OF TAKING THE
MAJORITY, BUT OF COURSE WE
TALKED SO MUCH ABOUT HOW
DEMOCRATS, WHAT WAS THE
CHALLENGE, THEY WERE DEFENDING
SO MANY SEATS IN TRUMP STATES.
TRUMP HAD WON THEM IN ’16.
DEMOCRATS TRYING TO DEFEND THEM
IN ’18.
IN ’18. AS THINGS SHAKE OUT, THIS IS WHY
TRUMP WANTS TO TALK ABOUT IT.
REPUBLICANS RIGHT NOW 52 SEATS.
THEY DID KNOCK OFF BILL NELSON
IN FLORIDA.
IN FLORIDA. THEY WON IN INDIANA.
THEY WON IN MISSOURI.
WE DID GET SOME PICKUPS HERE.
THIS IS THE RUNOFF IN
MISSISSIPPI.
MISSISSIPPI. REPUBLICANS CERTAINLY FAVORED
HERE.
HERE. IF REPUBLICANS DO WIN THAT RACE,
THEY WILL END UP WITH THAT NET
GAIN OF TWO.
IF DEMOCRATS WERE SOMEHOW TO WIN
THAT, YOU’D BE RIGHT BACK --
YOU’D HAVE 52/48 RIGHT THERE.
DEMOCRATS WOULD LOOK AT THE
SENATE AND SAY THIS COULD HAVE
BEEN A LOT WORSE.
REPUBLICANS WOULD SAY THE BOTTOM