Speaker 1: There's a super interesting article that many of you sent me about who is likely to
live longer from today. Joe Biden or Donald Trump. Bearing in mind that Joe Biden is older than
Donald Trump, this question relates to so much of the discussion around fitness for office. Trump's
glitches, Joe Biden looking unstable and frail and sometimes falling and all of it. And one of
the things that sometimes is genuinely difficult to talk about is there while we don't ever know
exactly when someone's going to die. There is an entire industry called actuaries that are
paid to calculate when are you likely to die on average statistically. And one of the questions,
of course, is age. Someone who's 80 today is more likely to die sooner than someone who is
ten today, all else being equal. But it also takes into consideration lifestyle factors.
It takes into consideration underlying illness. It takes into consideration
diet and weight and so many other things. And there's a very interesting new article
on The Messenger. Which president is healthier? Data show Biden will likely outlive Trump. I don't
really care about this from a gossipy perspective. What's interesting about this is that there are so
many on the right who have started to insist Joe Biden's never going to survive a second term. Now,
when you look at the actuarial data and you consider the facts about Trump and Biden,
what actuarial data finds is that from today, it is likely that Joe Biden will live longer
than Donald Trump, despite only a three year age gap between Biden and Trump. Recent polling shows
voters treating the two men's age differently. This we know. The article is quite interesting.
I encourage you to check it out. Biden has disclosed he takes prescription drugs to treat
common conditions, including allergies, high cholesterol and gastro Assaf esophageal reflux.
Polls show that voters are not treating the slim different in difference in age the same
way. Washington Post ABC News poll found that 32% of voters think Biden has the mental sharpness
it takes to be president, compared to 54% for Trump. Yet and this is where it gets interesting.
Available medical information suggests the two men are more similar health wise than different.
A recent report, published in 2020 by the International Council on Active Aging,
found that while both Biden and Trump have a higher than average probability of surviving
another term in office, Biden's probability is 95% versus Trump at 90. The report attributes
this to Biden's nearly perfect health profile for a man his age. It also found that while both Biden
and Trump are likely to be part of a subgroup known as super agers, those who maintain mental
and physical functioning and live longer than the average person at their age, Biden is expected to
outlive Trump. The report represents the first time medical records and personal attributes of
presidential candidates have been scientifically analyzed by scientists and physicians. It draws
in part on annual medical disclosures released by both men during times at the White House. So
this really is interesting. You're comparing the health of Biden and Trump. And what this finds
essentially is that there's a lot of commonalities here. But there are some important differences,
including Trump's obesity and diet, obesity and diet. This is a very, very big deal when you look
at lifestyle factors. Trump is obese and Joe Biden is not. And this is something that has a
significant impact on life expectancy. They're both older folks. Biden is 80 and Trump's a
couple of years shy of 80. But Biden is quite thin and is active, rides a bike, goes to the beach,
etc.. Yes, Trump golfs. He rides a golf cart between shots and is very overweight, in fact,
obese, according to BMI, which is not a perfect indicator, but at least it gives
us an idea. That's a major difference between the two, which affects life expectancy. And so
my interest in this is less about another Trump's fat story, which is really not very interesting.
But it's there is an incorrect assumption that statistically it's more likely Trump will live
until January of 2029, the end of the next term, than it is that Joe Biden will live until January
2029. Statistically, while they are both likely to survive, it is actually more likely that Joe Biden
does. Now, is this a reason to vote one way or the other? Not for me. If either died in office,
I would be more worried about what Trump would do while alive than what Biden would do while alive.
And I would be more worried about what Trump's vice. President would do if they became president,
if Trump died, then. My concern about what Biden's vice president, presumably Kamala Harris,
would do as president if Joe Biden were to die. So there's the facts. And then there's
also the fact that regardless, I'd still vote for Biden over Trump if those were the options.