"THE BETTOR HOUR" STARTS NOW. ♪
WHAT'S UP, EVERYBODY? WELCOME BACK TO ANOTHER EDITION
OF "THE BETTOR HOUR." YOUR FAVORITE HOUR OF SPORTS
BETTING AND EVERYTHING IN BETWEEN.
WE HAVE KATIE AND MYSELF, JEFF JOHNSON.
ON THE OTHER SIDE, FORMALLY KNOWN AS MY BETTER HALF, ALEX
MONACO. HOW ARE YOU FEELING?
I'M HANGING OUT, CHILLING I'M ABOUT TO TURN INTO PROFESSOR
MONACO BECAUSE I KNOW YOU GUY GOT SOME UPPER DIVISION MLB
QUESTIONS FOR ME, WANT TO GIVE OUR AUDIENCE THE NOT SO LOWER
DIVISION TRENDS. WE GO ON ADVANCED METRICS.
WOW. TO SEE PROFE MONACO.
GETTING INTO SOME ADVANCED ANALYTICS.
I DIDN'T KNOW WE WER D DOING MATH.
BUT REGRESSION. I GET TO USE MY DEGREE ONCE
EV S SIX MONTHS. BUT TODAY IS THE DAY.
SO, ALEX, T ME ABOUT HUNTER GREEN, WHAT DO YOU GOT FOR THEM
PITCHING-WISE? WELL, WE'RE TAKING A LOOK AT
Ks, STARTER-WISE. KOE PECK HAS BEEN SENSATIONAL.
CAGE PER NINE INNINGS. WHEN YOU LOOK AT 8.19, THAT'S
GREAT PER NINE BUT WE KNOW THESE PITCHERS AREN'T GOING
COMPLETE GAMES VERYOFTEN. K PERCENTAGE, 22.9, THAT'S NOT
BAD AT ALL, CONSIDERI PERCENTAGE FOR A TEAM THAT
REALLY IS RELYING ON THEIR PITCHING BECAUSE T THEY'RE 22ndN
RUNS OVERALL. WIF PERCENTAGE IS WHAT YOU
IMAGINE. WE ALL DO IT IN WIFFLE BALL.
1 OUT OF 4 SWINGS O A SWING AND MISS.
THAT'S PHENOMENAL. HE HASN'T HAD A TON OFs AS OF
LATE, BUT HE'S LOOKING PROMISING OVERALL BASED OFF THESE
ANALYTICS. OKAY.
LET'S TALK ABOUT KYLE SCHWARBER. SO A PLAYER LIK THAT THAT DID
GET A HOME RUN BET FOR ME HAS TO BE WORTH A TOTAL BASE BET WITH
HIS ON BASE STREAK. TONIGHT HIS PROP BET IS SET TO
OND-D-A-HALF BASES. ON DK, WHAT IS HE DOING THIS
SEASON THAT MAKES HIM S STAND O? WELL, WE WANT TO TAKE A LOOK,
KATIE AT WRC PLUS, WHICH IS WEIGHTED RUNS CREATED PLUS.
SO BASICALLHIHIS IS WEIGHING THE HOURS OF THE BALLPARK AND
THE TIME PERIOD IN WHICH IT IS HITTING.
IF YOU ARE OVER 100 IN THIS CAT
CATEGORY, SCHWARBER AT 32 IN THE LEAG RIGHT NOW IS VERY
IMPRESSIVE. THEN YOU TAKE A LOOK AT SLUGGING
PERCENTAGE. HE'S TOP 20.
HOWDD THE PLAYERS HIT THE BALL.
WE KNOW THEY RIPPED THE BALL, SO TH PERCENTAGE RIGHT THERE AT
TOP 11 IS SENSATIONAL. HOW OFT THEY'RE HITTING THE
BARREL OF THE BAT, TOP FOUR FOR SCHWARBER AND ANOTHER VERY
HIGH-END ALALYTIC. IT IS EXPECTED WEIGHTED ON BASE
AVERAGE. SO THAT'S THE QUALITY OF THE
CONTACF F THE HIT. AND SCHWARBER IS REALLY KILLING
IT RIGHT NOW. SO AS FAR AS BETTING ON HIM IN
OVERON HITS OR BASES, YOU GOT TO LOOK AT THIS AND YOU GOT TO FEEL
PRETTY GOOD. PROFESSOR MONACO, THE XWOBA.
I LOVE IT. SPEAKING OF THE HOMETOWN, THE
NEW YORK METS HAVE BEEN DOING A GREAT JOB OF WINNING GAMES, NOT
ONLY WINNING GAMES, THEY'RE COVERING THE RUN LINE.
THEY HAVE THEHIHIRD BEST IN THE MAJORS SO FAR THIS YEAR.
WHICH STATS INDICATE THEY WILL KEEP IT UP FOR THIS YEAR.
TAKING A LOOK AT THIS NEW YORK TEAM, THE RUN LINE, THAT'SS
THE ONE-AND-A-HALF. THEY ARE THE BEST RIGHT NOW IN
THIS CATEG AT 57.3%. NOW, YOU TAKE A LOOK AT WRC PLUS
AS WE MENTIONED, WHICH, OF COURSE, IS THE WEIGHTED RUNS
CREATEPLUS. AND THIS TEAM IS VERY CLUTCH.
SO WHEN WE LOOK AT A LITTLEITIT OF A MORE INTRICATE LOOK IN
DEPTH INTO THE METS THEY'RE GETTING GUYS INTO RUNNERS INTO
SCORING POSITION AND THEN THEY'RE CONVERTING.
WHEN YOU LOOK AT A TEAM THAT'S HITTING IN THE RUN LINE
PERCENTAYOYOU SEE IT WITH ALONSO, HE'S BEEN R RCLUTCH ALL
YEAR. CAN WE GET TIMELY HITS?
AS YOU KNOW, THE ASTROS HANDED THEM THEIR FIRST LOSS ON A DAY
OFF YESTERDAY. SO THEY HAVE BEEN SENSATIONAL.
AND OF COURSE HOW THEY GO ONE THROUGH NINE IN THE BATTI
ORDER, THIS BATTING AVERAGE, THIS TEAM HAS BEEN TOP FIVE AND
TOP THREE FOR MOST OF THE SEASON.
FOR THE MOST PART, WE'RE LOOKING AT THE METS BEING VERY CLUTCH?
CAN THEY KEEP IT UP? WE HOPE.
THEY HAVE BEEN DOING IT WITH THE BEST PITCHING WITHOUT deGROM AND
SCHERZER, WHICH ISIMPRESSIVE. ONE PITCHER PERFORMING WELL
ABOVE HIS PRIOR WORK ISHEHE MARLINS START ERER SANDY ALCANT.
HE IS MAYBE THE BEST PITCHER IN BASEBALL.
NOW, X-E.R.A., THIS IS A A GUY O IS NOT ONLY DOING THIS AT A HIGH
LEVEL, BUT HE'S DOING ITNN SITUATIONAL SPOTS.
AND THAT'S WHAT THE ADVANCED ANALYTICS TELL YOU.
YOU WANT TO KNOW WITH E.R.A. YOU DON'T ALWAYS SEE WHENCHCHERS
ARE COMING IN THIS SITUATIONS. OF COURSE, SANDY IS A STARTER
PITCHER. BUT FOR THE MOST PART, IT SHOWS
YOU WHAT KIND OF SITUATIONS THEY'RE IN.
AND HIM BEING CLOSE TO 100 IS INCREDIBLE WITH THE 2.61
X-E.R.A. THEN YOU LOOKTT HOW IS HE DOING
AS FAR AS BARREL PERCENTAGE HAHARD
HITS AND BEING FOURTH RIGHT NOW IN THE ENTIRE MAJORS IS
INCREDIBLE. SO THE ADVANCED ANALYTICS ARE
SHOWING US THAT SANDY IS HERE TO STAY.
AND T OF COURSE THIS E.R.A. PLUS DOWN HERE, 112% BETTER THAN
THE LEAGUE AVERAGE, THA IS REMARKABLE.
SO THIS MARLINS TEAM KNOWS WHAT THEY HAVE, AND THEY HAVE
PROBABLY AN ALMOST GUARANTEE RIGHT NOW WITH deGROM OUT.
E.R.A. KING ANDOTOTENTIALLY AN MVP COMING FOR SANDY.
A LOT OF A ACRONYMS THERE. I LOVE IT.
SPEAKING OF LATE SEASON AWARDS, A GUY LIKE KYLE
SCHWARBER WHO IS HAVING A FANTASTIC YEAR, SHOULD WE GET IN
EARLY WITH HIM? EVEN THOUGH ON THE DEFENSIVE
SIDE OF THINGS, HIS DEFENSE HAS BEEN SPOTTY TO SAY THE EAST.
IT IS INTERESTING, ERIC, BECAUSE WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE STA
ITTICS OF HOW HARD HE'S HIT THE BALL AND IS HENGNG IT
CONSISTENTLY, HE IS. WHEN YOU LOOK AT ADVANCED
ANALYTICS, PARTICULARLY WINS ABOVE REPLACEMENT, AND YOU LOOK
AT THE REST OF THE LEAGUE HERE, PARTICULARLY MACHADO AND
GOLDSCHMIDT, THESE ARE HOW WELL THEY D DOING IN COMPARISON TO
THE REST OF THE LEAGUE. RIGHT NOW SCHWARBER IS VERY LOW
RR WHAT HE'S DOING OFFENSIVELY SPEAKING.
SO I WOULD ACTUALLY SAY STOCK WNWN ON THIS, TO USE A TERM OF
ANOTHER SEGMENT OF OURS. I THINK SCHWARBER IS VERY CLUTCH
AND GOOD TO BET ON DAY-TO-DAY IN SITUATLL SPOTS.
BUT LOOKING AT THIS IN COMPARISON TO HIS PEERSN N THE
NL AS FAR AS MVP FUTURES, I JUST DON'T SEE IT RIGHT NOW.
BUT DO THINK HE IS A VERY FUN PLAYER TO BET ON GAME TO GAME.
AND THAT IS THE UPPER DIVISION ADVANCED ANALYTI I IN THE MLB
501. I AM PROFESSOR MONACO RETIRING
FOR THE REST OF BASEBALL SEA UNTIL WE COME BACK.
BUT COMING UP NEXT, KATIE HAS GOT YOU ON A WIMBLEDON