Russia invaded Ukraine on 24th Feb.
Six months have now elapsed.
After the first few weeks, many observers had flagged glaring issues with the Russian
military force like logistics problems and ineffective use of air power.
Even the general public could make out that all is not well with Russia's military combat
capability.
Many insider accounts have trickled out which validate this.
The Russian blogger and volunteer of the so-called Luhansk People's Republic Murz has now provided
some interesting details in a write-up titled' Half a year of SMO or Special Military Operation'
In this video Defense Updates analyzes how a Russian insider has exposed the abject condition
of the Russian military ? Let's get into
the details.
In his report, it is stated, "The reality is that in the spring the Russian Federation
killed all those forces with which were able to carry out large-scale encirclement operations.
No encirclement operations, no decisive turning point in the course of war.
I already wrote about it"
Murz admits that a large chunk of combat-ready Russian forces which were most capable have
been lost in the first stages of the war.
Russia has been using 'scorched-earth tactics' - Russian artillery and MLRS (Multiple Launch
Rocket System) are pummeling Ukrainian positions.
In this context, Murz writes, "The enemy will slowly retreat in those places
where they will be pressed by the artillery powerfully enough, but they will retreat to
prepared positions occupied by the reserves deployed.
To “grind” their cheap infantry in this way without having enough of our own proper
infantry can take a very long time and not bring much success."
He indicates Russia has no other choice but to shell Ukrainian positions with the hope
of the latter retreating.
We know the Russian Air Force hasn't been up to a game and its military's precision
strike capability is limited.
This is 20th-century warfare and with this kind of tactics, the Kremlin cannot expect
to have a swift victory.
Murz writes, "As already mentioned, instead of the normal
replenishment of currently fighting troops, a program has been launched to form new units
“from scratch”.
We will observe the slaughter of this wave of “volunteers” over Ukrainian positions,
including the next three-month-old “BARS” [special reserve initiative in Russia] during
the fall.
With no mobilization there will be no fully-fledged replenishment of troops.
Are you forming new units in conditions of a general shortage of personnel and communications?
They will initially turn out to be uncontrollable, roll out in dense columns to the front line
and be wrecked by the enemy artillery and MLRS."
He is basically saying that the reservist recruitment program in Russia is not going
to be of much help as these new units are too fresh and ill-organized to be effective
in this ongoing conflict.
Murz writes, "Recently, while receiving a pair of binoculars from me for his subordinates
from one of the line battalions, one veteran of the Luhansk militia and the “Prizrak”
battalion in particular, said: “We could do with more textbooks … on tactics, topography”.
It is a rare case when a person understands that untrained people can’t do anything.
Especially officers not trained to be officers.
However…
I’m damn tired of arguing.
I argued for seven years, torn myself explaining that one should not fly in the clouds, one
should prepare for a serious fight.
Get ready seriously.
No one cared.
Now I just don’t have time for these arguments.
You will see everything yourself."
Murz clearly indicates that Russian personnel are not ready for this conflict and need proper
training before they can be expected to fare better.
Murz states, "If there will be no mobilization in the Russian Federation – the frontline
will not just stop, but will begin to slowly roll back in places in the opposite direction.
To the sounds of “Kalibrs” flying over the heads of the ukrops somewhere into their
rear.
This is a war to destroy Russia, no one will agree to any compromise peace unless the very
fact of its agreeing is included in the mechanism of a coup d’état in the Russian Federation.
And this war, with excellent chances of winning our leadership, has every chance of squander."
While Murz understands that mobilization will not enable Russia to make a breakthrough,
without it Russian forces may start to retreat from the positions they have gained till now.
This could lead to a collapse in Ukraine.